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The State of Planet
Earth and Us.
How we know the world
How many of us are aware that
a lilac in front of a blue background appears red while the same
lilac in front of a red background appears blue?
It is important to recognize
this phenomenon. It demonstrates that to register something accurately
and then describe it and relate to it appropriately, we must
take the whole scene, including the background, into consideration.
When we look at industrial
society with this phenomenon in mind, we see that industrial
society functions exceedingly well in its ability to produce
goods, services and profits. However, it is destructive and dysfunctional with respect to
supporting the well-being of human nervous systems and ecosystems.
Out mentality and psyche determine
how we choose to behave. We are socially and environmentally
dysfunctional because, with respect to nature, the "industrial"
way we think unnecessarily stresses injures or kills natural
systems, including those in us.
Our mind is a natural system
and industrial society has injuriously captured and stressed
it. For this reason, our thinking seldom promotes or sustains
balanced relationships with natural systems within and about
us.
We suffer our troubles because
our consciousness and thinking are our destiny and they are sick.
The well-being of the world is at risk until we lean to use a
potent antidote to cure our mental dysfunction and its adverse
effects personal and global effects.
The antidote is readily available
to those who care and want to help others learn to use it.
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to supportively think in balance with natural systems.
EARTH DAY
PLUS THIRTY, AS SEEN BY THE EARTH
By Donella Meadows, adjunct
professor at Dartmouth College. Used with permission
If, in the thirty Earth Day
celebrations we have held since 1970, the human population and
economy have become any more respectful of the Earth, the Earth
hasn't noticed.
The planet is not impressed
by fancy speeches. Leonardo DiCaprio interviewing Bill Clinton
about global warming is not an Earth-shaking event. The Earth
has no way of registering good intentions or future inventions
or high hopes. It doesn't even pay attention to dollars, which
are, from a planet's point of view, just a charming human invention.
Planets measure only physical things-energy and materials and
their flows into and out of the changing populations of living
creatures.
What the Earth sees is that
on the first Earth Day in 1970 there were 3.7 billion of those
hyperactive critters called humans, and now there are over 6
billion.
Back in 1970 those humans drew
from the Earth's crust 46 million barrels of oil every day-now
they draw 78 million.
Natural gas extraction has
nearly tripled in thirty years, from 34 trillion cubic feet per
year to 95 trillion. We mined 2.2 billion metric tons in 1970;
this year we'll mine about 3.8 billion. The planet feels this
fossil fuel use in many ways, as the fuels are extracted (and
spilled) and shipped (and spilled) and refined (generating toxics)
and burned into numerous pollutants, including carbon dioxide,
which traps outgoing energy and warms things up. Despite global
conferences and brave promises, what the Earth notices is that
human carbon emissions have increased from 3.9 million metric
tons in 1970 to an estimated 6.4 million this year, 2000.
You would think that an unimaginably
huge thing like a planet would not notice the one degree (Fahrenheit)
warming it has experienced since 1970. But on the scale of a
whole planet, one degree is a big deal, especially since it is
not spread evenly. The poles have warmed more than the equator,
the winters more than the summers, the nights more than the days.
That means that temperature DIFFERENCES from one place to another
have been changing much more than the average temperature has
changed. Temperature differences are what make winds blow, rains
rain, ocean current flow.
All creatures, including humans,
are exquisitely attuned to the weather. All creatures, including
us, are noticing weather weirdness and trying to adjust, by moving,
by fruiting earlier or migrating later, by building up whatever
protections are possible against flood and drought. The Earth
is reacting to weather changes too, shrinking glaciers, splitting
off nation-sized chunks of Antarctic ice sheet, enhancing the
cycles we call El Nino and La Nina.
"Earth Day, Shmearth Day,"
the planet must be thinking as its fever mounts. "Are you
folks ever going to take me seriously?"
Since the first Earth Day our
global vehicle population has swelled from 246 to 730 million.
Air traffic has gone up by a factor of six. The rate at which
we grind up trees to make paper has doubled (to 200 million metric
tons per year). We coax from the soil, with the help of strange
chemicals, 2.25 times as much wheat, 2.5 times as much corn,
2.2 times as much rice, almost twice as much sugar, almost four
times as many soybeans as we did thirty years ago. We pull from
the oceans almost twice as much fish.
With the fish we can see clearly
how the planet behaves, when we push it too far. It does not
feel sorry for us; it just follows its own rules. Fish become
harder and harder to find. If they are caught before they're
old enough to reproduce, if their nursery habitat is destroyed,
if we scoop up not only the cod, but the capelin upon which the
cod feeds, the fish may never come back. The Earth does not care
that we didn't mean it, that we promise not to do it again, that
we make nice gestures every Earth Day.
We have among us die-hard optimists
who will berate me for not reporting the good news since the
last Earth Day. There is plenty of it, but it is mostly measured
in human terms, not Earth terms. Average human life expectancy
has risen since 1970 from 58 to 66 years. Gross world product
has more than doubled, from 16 to 39 trillion dollars. Recycling
has increased, but so has trash generation, so the Earth receives
more garbage than ever before. Wind and solar power generation
have soared, but so have coal-fired, gas-fired and nuclear generation.
In human terms there has been
breathtaking progress. In 1970 there weren't any cell phones
or video players. There was no Internet; there were no dot-coms.
Nor was anyone infected with AIDS, of course, nor did we have
to worry about genetic engineering. Global spending on advertising
was only one-third of what it is now (in inflation-corrected
dollars). Third-World debt was one-eighth of what it is now.
Whether you call any of that
progress, it is all beneath the notice of the Earth. What the
Earth sees is that its species are vanishing at a rate it hasn't
seen in 65 million years. That 40 percent of its agricultural
soils have been degraded. That half its forests have disappeared
and half its wetlands have been filled or drained, and that despite
Earth Day, all these trends are accelerating.
Earth Day is beginning to remind
me of Mother's Day, a commercial occasion upon which you buy
flowers for the person who, every other day of the year, cleans
up after you. Guilt-assuaging. Trivializing. Actually dangerous.
All mothers have their breaking points. Mother Earth does not
soften hers with patience or forgiveness or sentimentality.
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Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change Report
July, 2001
3,000 scientists involved in
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have given their
unqualified backing to the argument that global warming is taking
place and at a much faster rate than was expected. The Panel
established by the United Nations and the World Meteorological
Organisation stated that temperatures were rising more quickly
than at any time in the past 1,000 years. Experts are warning
that this will put millions of people at risk with a future of
floods, droughts and landslides if predictions are correct. Poorer
countries will be the most vulnerable if temperatures rise by
as much as 5.8 34C as predicted by the end of the century. Plants
and animals will disappear and many developing countries depend
more heavily on water and agriculture for survival will suffer.
Strong evidence depicts that
over the past 540 years human activities such as the burning
of fossil fuels has speeded up the global warming process. The
IPCC report said that the concentration of carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere is now at its highest for 400,000 years. Politicians
from more than 150 countries meet in Germany next week to try
to salvage the Kyoto agreement.
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Siberian
and Artic Tundra Melting From Global Warming Releases Methane
Gas that Increases the Warming Process.
August 11,
2005
The world's largest frozen
peat bog is melting. An area stretching for a million square
kilometres across the permafrost of western Siberia is turning
into a mass of shallow lakes as the ground melts, according to
Russian researchers just back from the region.
The sudden melting of a bog
the size of France and Germany combined could unleash billions
of tonnes of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, into the atmosphere.
The news of the dramatic transformation
of one of the world's least visited landscapes comes from Sergei
Kirpotin, a botanist at Tomsk State University, Russia, and Judith
Marquand at the University of Oxford.
Kirpotin describes an "ecological
landslide that is probably irreversible and is undoubtedly connected
to climatic warming". He says that the entire western Siberian
sub-Arctic region has begun to melt, and this "has all happened
in the last three or four years".
Siberia's peat bogs formed
around 11,000 years ago at the end of the last ice age. Since
then they have been generating methane, most of which has been
trapped within the permafrost, and sometimes deeper in ice-like
structures known as clathrates. Larry Smith of the University
of California, Los Angeles, estimates that the west Siberian
bog alone contains some 70 billion tonnes of methane, a quarter
of all the methane stored on the land surface worldwide.
His colleague Karen Frey says
if the bogs dry out as they warm, the methane will oxidise and
escape into the air as carbon dioxide. But if the bogs remain
wet, as is the case in western Siberia today, then the methane
will be released straight into the atmosphere. Methane is 20
times as potent a greenhouse gas as carbon dioxide.
In May this year, Katey Walter
of the University of Alaska Fairbanks told a meeting in Washington
of the Arctic Research Consortium of the US that she had found
methane hotspots in eastern Siberia, where the gas was bubbling
from thawing permafrost so fast it was preventing the surface
from freezing, even in the midst of winter.
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The United
Nations Millennium Forum Declaration reports
The statistics shift slightly
from year to year and from report to report but they are, nevertheless,
always shocking to our sense of humanity.
- Some 840 million people remain
malnourished,
- 1.3 billion do not have access
to clean water,
- One in seven children of primary
school age is out of school.
- An estimated 1.5 billion people
subsist on less than one US dollar per day
- Some 2.8 billion subsist on
less than two dollars a day.
- As of the most recent count,
there were some 35 armed conflicts raging in theworld.
- The weapons and the disagreements
that could lead to worldwide war of horrific destruction still
exist.
To see how
this translates to you as an individual, visit our Global
Overview
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Nature
Journal:
International Consortium of Scientists Report
October, 2001: A shocking and
groundbreaking new scientific study by an international consortium
of scientists has concluded that humanity's assault on the
environment has left many ecosystems - from coral reefs and tropical
forests to lakes and coastal waters - in such a fragile state
that the slightest disturbance, from a dry spell to a fire or
flood, may push them into a catastrophic collapse. The study,
published in the prestigious journal NATURE, found that human
impacts on many of the world's ecosystems could cause them to
abruptly shift with little or no warning from their apparently
stable natural condition to very different, diminished conditions
far less able to support diversity of life, including human.
"Models have predicted this, but only in recent years has
enough evidence accumulated to tell us that resilience of many
important ecosystems has become undermined to the point that
even the slightest disturbance can make them collapse,"
said Marten Scheffer, an ecologist at the University of Wageningen
in the Netherlands and lead author of the study.
Conventional scientific and conservation thinking has been that
ecosystems such as lakes, oceans, coral reefs, woodlands or deserts
respond slowly and steadily to climate change, nutrient pollution,
habitat degradation and other human environmental impacts. But
the new study shatters this paradigm, finding instead that, after
decades of continuous change imposed by human activity, many
of the world's natural ecosystems are now susceptible to sudden
catastrophic change. In dramatic contrast to conventional environmental
thinking, the investigators paint a picture of unexpectedly sudden,
drastic switches of state, from lush, lake-dotted forests teeming
with plants and animals to scorching, parched deserts devoid
of all but the hardiest of lifeforms, for example.
"In approaching questions about deforestation or endangered
species or global climate change, we work on the premise that
an ounce of pollution equals an ounce of damage," said co-author
Jonathan Foley, a University of Wisconsin-Madison climatologist
and director of the Center for Sustainability and the Global
Environment at the Institute for Environmental Studies at UW-Madison.
"It turns out that assumption is entirely incorrect. Ecosystems
may go on for years exposed to pollution or climate changes without
showing any change at all and then suddenly they may flip into
an entirely different condition, with little warning ornone at
all."
"The idea that nature can suddenly flip from one kind of
condition to another is sobering," said Foley, who said
that such changes can be irreversible. "For hundreds of
years, we've been taught to think in very linear ways; we like
to think of nature as being simple. But now we know that we can't
count on ecosystems to act in nice simple ways."
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UN paints
grim global picture.
Time running out for ecology, report warns; new threat is found
By Rosalind Russell, Reuters,
09/22/99
NAIROBI - It is too late to
halt global warming and time is quickly running out to prevent
other potential environmental catastrophes, the UN's environment
agency said in a major report yesterday.
''Global Environment Outlook
2000'' offers a gloomy view of the planet's condition on the
eve of the next millennium. It points to new threats - such as
increased levels of nitrogen in the water supply - that the world
has not yet tackled.
''The gains made by better
management and technology are still being outpaced by the environmental
impacts of population and economic growth. We are on an unsustainable
course,'' Klaus Toepfer, head of the United Nations Environment
Program, said at the launch of the report in Nairobi.
The report says emissions of
greenhouse gases that cause global warming have quadrupled since
the 1950s, and that ''binding'' targets to reduce emissions,
agreed by governments at the summit last year in Kyoto, Japan,
may not be met.
The rate at which humans are
destroying the environment is accelerating, often because of
excessive consumption by the rich, and to the detriment of the
poor.
About 20 percent of the world's
population lack access to safe drinking water, and 50 percent
have no access to a sanitation system. This state of affairs
will deteriorate as the world's population, set to reach 6 billion
next month, will increase by 50 percent in the next 50 years.
Eighty percent of the world's
original forest cover has been cleared or degraded, and logging
and mining projects threaten 39 percent of what forest remains.
A quarter of mammal species
are at risk of extinction, while more than half the world's coral
reefs are threatened by human activity.
There were 850 contributors
to the report, which took two and a half years to compile, and
which highlights some lesser-known environmental problems.
Disasters such as hurricanes
and forest fires are increasing in frequency and severity, and
have killed 3 million people in the past three decades. Armed
conflicts and refugee flows are causing greater damage to the
environment than ever before.
There is also mounting evidence
that humans are seriously destabilizing the global nitrogen balance.
Huge amounts of nitrogen are being deposited on land and in water
through intensive agriculture and the burning of fossil fuels.
Eventually, this problem could
make fresh-water supplies unfit for human consumption, the report
says.
''The full extent of the damage
is only now becoming apparent as we begin to piece together a
comprehensive overview of the extremely complex, interconnected
web that is our life support system,'' said Toepfer, a former
German environment minister.
Much of the damage is irreparable,
but through a huge mobilization of resources and political will,
much can be done to prevent further destruction, the report says.
A long-term target of a 90
percent reduction in the consumption of raw materials in industrialized
countries may seem far-fetched, but without it hundreds of millions
of people will be condemned to a life of suffering, the report
concludes.
This story ran on page A05
of the Boston Globe on 09/22/99.
© Copyright 1999 Globe
Newspaper Company.
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An Overview
from B.F. Skinner, 1971 (via Uri Cogan)
"In trying to solve the terrifying problems that face us
in the world today, we naturally turn to the things we do best.
We play from strength, and our strength is science and technology.
To contain a population explosion we look for better methods
of birth control. Threatened by a nuclear holocaust, we build
bigger deterrent forces and anti-ballistic-missile systems. We
try to stave off world famine with new foods and better ways
of growing them. Improved sanitation and medicine will, we hope,
control disease, better housing and transportation will solve
the problems of the ghettos, and new ways of reducing or disposing
of waste will stop the pollution of the environment. We can point
to remarkable achievements in all these fields, and it is not
surprising that we should try to extend them. But things grow
steadily worse and it is disheartening to find that technology
itself is increasingly at fault. Sanitation and medicine have
made the problems of population more acute, war has acquired
a new horror with the invention of nuclear weapons, and the affluent
pursuit of happiness is largely responsible for pollution. As
Darlington has said, 'Every new source from which man has increased
his power on the earth has been used to diminish the prospects
of his successors. All his progress has been made at the expense
of damage to his environment which he cannot repair and could
not forsee."
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SUMMARY
of
reports from the Union of Concerned Scientists
Human culture now has the potential
to inflict irreversible damage on the environment and on its
life sustaining systems and resources. Already, critical stress
suffered by our environment is clearly manifest in the air, water,
and soil, our climate, and plant and animal species. Should this
deterioration be allowed to continue, we can expect to alter
the living world to the extent that it will be unable to sustain
life as we know it.
Indiscriminate dumping of toxic,
nuclear, and biomedical waste and environmental disasters of
enormous scale have begun to cut deep scars into the Earth's
ecosystem and disrupt its delicate ecological balance. Global
warming, though to be resulting from increased levels of carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere from fossil fuel use and from deforestation,
may have the potential to alter climate on a massive scale. Air
pollution near ground level and acid precipitation, and stratospheric
ozone depletion causing enhanced ultra-violet radiation at the
earth's surface, are causing widespread injury to human and animal
populations, forests and crops. Our remaining rainforests and
many wild forest regions, essential to worldwide ecological balance,
are slated for clear cutting due to poor management policies.
Uncontrolled exploitation of
depletable ground water supplies have endangered food production
and other essential human systems and heavy demands for surface
waters have resulted in serious shortages in many countries.
Pollution of rivers, lakes and ground water has further limited
the supply of potable water. Destructive pressure on the oceans
is severe. Rivers carrying heavy burdens of eroded soil into
the seas also contain toxic industrial, municipal, agricultural,
and livestock waste. With the marine catch at or above the maximum
sustainable yield, some fisheries are already showing signs of
collapse.
Soil productivity is on the
decline and per capita food production in many parts of the world
is decreasing, as a result of destructive agriculture and animal
husbandry practices. Already, more than ten percent of the earth's
vegetated surface has been degraded, an area larger than India
and China combined.
Over one third of the valuable
topsoil used to grow the grains that feed much of the world has
blown or washed away. This desertification, caused by overgrazing
domestic animals and by over-cultivation, salinization, and deforestation,
has already impacted over 35 percent of the land surface of the
earth (United Nations Environmental Program). Desertification
has caused many millions to abandon the land, lacking the bare
essentials of survival, they have migrated to urban slums, where
all that awaits them are meager government relief packages and
poverty wages.
We are fast approaching many
of the earth's limits; its ability to provide for growing numbers
of people, to provide food and energy, and to absorb wastes and
destructive effluent. Current economic practices which damage
the environment, in both developed and underdeveloped nations,
cannot be continued without the risk that vital global systems
will be damaged beyond repair.
No more than a few decades
remain before the chance to avert the threats we now confront
will be lost and the prospects for humanity immeasurably diminished.
We must begin to bring environmentally damaging activities under
control to restore and protect the integrity of the earth's ecosystems.
The greatest peril is to become trapped in spirals of environmental
decline, poverty, and unrest, leading to worldwide social, economic
and environmental collapse from which we may be unable to recover.
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Most Recent
State of the Earth Report
from the United Nations
Environment Programme
"From a global perspective
the environment has continued to degrade during the past decade,
and significant environmental problems remain deeply embedded
in the socio-economic fabric of nations in all regions. Progress
towards a global sustainable future is just too slow. A sense
of urgency is lacking. Internationally and nationally, the funds
and political will are insufficient to halt further global environmental
degradation and to address the most pressing environmental issues-even
though technology and knowledge are available to do so.
The recognition of environmental
issues as necessarily long-term and cumulative, with serious
global and security implications, remains limited. The reconciliation
of environment and trade regimes in a fair and equitable mannerstill
remains a major challenge. The continued preoccupation with immediate
local and national issues and a general lack of sustained interest
in global and long-term environmental issues remain major impediments
to environmental progress internationally. Global governance
structures and global environmental solidarity remain too weak
to make progress a world-wide reality. As a result, the gap between
what has been done thus far and what is realistically needed
is widening.
Comprehensive response mechanisms
have not yet been fully internalized at the national level. The
development at local, national, and regional levels of effective
environmental legislation and of fiscal and economic instruments
has not kept pace with the increase in environmental institutions.
In the private sector, environmental advances by several major
transnational corporations are not reflected widely in the practices
of small- and medium-sized companies that form the backbone of
economies in many countries.
In the future, the continued
degradation of natural resources, shortcomings in environmental
responses, and renewable resource constraints may increasingly
lead to food insecurity and conflict situations. Changes in global
biogeochemical cycles and the complex interactions between environmental
problems such as climate change, ozone depletion, and acidification
may have impacts that will confront local, regional, and global
communities with situations they are unprepared for. Previously
unknown risks to human health are becoming evident from the cumulative
and persistent effects of a whole range of chemicals, particularly
the persistent organic pollutants. The effects of climate variability
and change are already increasing the incidence of familiar public
health problems and leading to new ones, including a more extensive
reach of vectorborne diseases and a higher incidence of heat-related
illness and mortality. If significant major policy reforms are
not implemented quickly, the future might hold more such surprises.
GEO-1 substantiates the need
for the world to embark on major structural changes and to pursue
environmental and associated socio-economic policies vigorously.
Key areas for action must embrace the use of alternative and
renewableenergy resources, cleaner and leaner production systems
world-wide, and concerted global action for the protection and
conservation of the world's finite and irreplaceable fresh-water
resources."
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Continued
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