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The State of Planet Earth and Us.
FACT:
On average, we spend over 95 percent of our
time indoors.
Throughout our lifetime over 99
percent of our thoughts, senses, feelings and relationships are out of tune
with authentic nature and the intelligent balancing powers of its biodiversity.
On
average, we spend less than 12 hours of our total lifetime reasonably
sensing and relating organically, like the life of Nature/Earth works.
Everything has a
background. How
many of us are aware that a lilac in front of a blue background can
appear
red while the same lilac in front of a red background can appear to be
blue. This phenomenon is also
observed with the color orange. It
is important to recognize it. It demonstrates that to
register something accurately and then describe it and relate to it
appropriately, we must take the whole scene, including the background,
into consideration. As our the life of ou Big Bang universe demonstrates all things in it are a living sequential continuum
of their/its past; that's their/our background.
"Reality
applies to connections, and only relatively to the things connected.
(A) is real for (B), and (B) is real for (A), but they are not
absolutely real independent of each other."
When
we look at Industrial Society with the background phenomenon in mind,
we see that
our society functions exceedingly well with respect to its "objective
science and
technology" ability to produce
goods, services and profits from the material world. However, it is destructive and dysfunctional with
respect to its "objectivity" being a science that includes the whole of
life.
The whole includes the "subjective sensitive background,"
that keeps the well-being of the life of Earth in balance, including the life of our
body mind and
spirit. To our loss, we scientifically and spiritually learn to ignore or
assault the whole of life. In the name of progress and superior intelligence we are secretly educated to eviscerate our natural integrity rather than strengthen it.
A short-circuit
disconnection in the way we learn to think indoctrinates us to fight an
undeclared war against the life of Earth and Nature whose remedy we hide. Its casualties produce our miseries. This makes us
continually declare wars against them that we seldom win. They are our wars to
conquer stress, drugs, alcohol, terrorism, territory, ideas, disorders, injustice,
mental illness, isolation, violence, disease, PTSD, poverty, debt, imbalance, injustice,
pollution, extinction, excessiveness, ad nauseum.
NOTE: Instead of declaring war, Project NatureConnect declares
Peace; Peace on Earth
through Peace With the Life of Earth. It accomplishes this by
injecting into how we think, feel and
relate a maverick genius remedy. It consists of an active and objective, sensory relationship building equation for whole life science. It is the GreenWave art of Educating,
Counseling and Healing with Nature (ECHN).
ECHN is a holistic way of knowing and relating based on its Warranty for Nature-connected, indisputable, self-evident facts.
The ECHN process
recognizes that the underlying state of our
mentality and psyche determines how we behave.
We are socially
and environmentally dysfunctional because, with respect to our innate
love of the life of nature, the
objective science
"industrial" way we have been indoctrinated to think unnecessarily
deteriorates, omits, stresses, injures or kills
the "subjective" whole life dance of Nature, in and around us. We
produce the excessiveness of our Earth overshoot and misery because we suffer from a malady recognized by some as greed and others as Nature Deficit Disorder.
Our personal life is part of
Nature. Bewildered, we indoctrinate our senses to be prejudiced
against nature
while we excessively become cultural objects: consumers, voters,
workers, artisans, soldiers that excessively impact natural areas and each other.
For
example: We pay close attention to and trust our electrically run nervous system and its objective science mind that harnesses electricity and produces the electrical essentials for
automobiles, water purification, computers,
airplanes telephones, television, medicines, space
programs, light, heating and buildings. But:
- When
for fifty years the same science
and scientists overwhelmingly report that humanity is contributing to
climate change, we deny it, refute it, argue, and do not change our
ways.
- When the same
scientific
reasoning shows that both water and the sensation of thirst are real
facts of life, we omit the sensation of thirst as a scientific fact,
dismissing it,
along with our 49 other
natural senses, as being "subjective." We think and relate with only 15 percent of our innate wisdom.
- When scientific
thinking shows that organic truths make more sense than
nature-disconnected information we experience organics as an optional fad and
don't
insist upon their application, yet we require folks to wear seat belts.
- When scientific research confirms intelligent behavior in the life of our planet, a slime mold, a tree or our genetics, we seldom respect that nature and its eons is an organic form of intelligence.
The disastrous results of
our objective science, conquer nature warp are obvious yet they
increase year after year while a whole-life art and scientific antidote for the known and predictable destructive
outcomes of this insanity are ignored. This could be called "SND: Suicide by Nature Disconnection."
Our
leaders seldom teach us that, based on undeniable self-evidence, Natural Attraction is the
essence of the life of our Big Bang Universe as well as the essence of love, life, unity and spirit. These "fundamental six" are identical and synonymous. They are different terms for Einstein's scientific Grand Unified Field "god particle."
Our
excessive separation from the natural attraction energies in natural areas produces disorders caused
by 54-sense love-deprivation. This is a form of madness that we endure as a social norm and that needs psychological treatment that is available, but ignored. This is also our
destiny until we stop our excessiveness via its ECHN remedy.
The well-being of the
world is at risk and will remain so until
we learn to use and apply a potent,
readily available,
objective
science, ECHN mental health recovery process. We don't use it because most of us are in denial that
we are ill and resource bankrupt. Instead, we call what we do "intelligent," "progress" and "economic growth." For this
reason we deny that ECHN is a sensible sensory medicine that we must use
to
repair our nature-disconnected dysfunctions and their harmful personal and
global effects.
The
restorative maverick genius ECHN antidote is available to those with intelligent concern about
our runaway destructive ways, to folks who want to learn and help others
learn to use it.
Anyone can start by wanting to sense, think and
feel like nature's purity and balance works.
It increasingly provides practical assistance for our disorders and
gives its practitioners the happiness of a reasonable and sustainable
livelihood. It can be easily added to any profession, discipline or
hobby. For example, Massage Therapy becomes nature-connected Massage
Therapy.
Naked Aliveness: The unifying dance
of the Universe is the essence of our body, mind and sprit,
moment by moment. I and others call the dance Bio (life) and I spell it NNIAAL
Ultimate Intelligence:
We cannot win the battle to increase the
well-being of the web of life, including our life, without
strengthening our 54 natural attraction senses, our emotional bonds
with Nature and its biodiversity - for we will not fight to save what we do not love
enough.
-
Michael J. Cohen (My blend of statements by
Stephen Jay Gould and Jalaluddin Rumi)
Sadly,
since 1948 the effects of the information that follows demonstrates
that facts and attitude alone do not change our behavior or reduce our
disastrous overshoot unbalance, in and around us. ECHN does help us achieve this
but it is omitted in scientific thinking and education as "Subjective"
or "Inconvenient." We deny that we have a psychological problem
that needs the ECHN Applied Ecopsychology solution.
All things only exist in the present moment of our Universe, in the
Organic Psychology of GreenWave ECHN that includes our stories, senses and sensations. Learning to felt-sense think and speak on GreenWave ECHN enables us communicate with the whole of life and its history that lies in each present moment's Unified Field core attraction power of the eons.
The "Now" aliveness of the GreenWave feelingly attaches our lives to all past
leaders, prophets and deities along with their stories, senses and relationships. In natural areas this gives us the
ability to lovingly dance as equals with them and update them with today's scientific knowledge, then unknown. The GreenWave ECHN process
is creation's glue. Using it empowers us
to resolve our destructive differences by unifying their origins. It
helps us reduce our disorders and peacefully increase personal, social
and environmental well-being.
Select here for a
tool that helps us learn and teach how to supportively think in balance
with natural systems.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
An
Overview from B.F.
Skinner, 1971
Edited from Beyond Freedom and Dignity by B.F. Skinner (Skinner, 1971)
"In trying to solve the terrifying problems that face us in the world
today, we naturally turn to the things we do best. We play from
strength, and our strength is science and technology.
- To contain a population explosion we look for better methods of birth control.
- To decrease mental illness we seek more powerful drugs and therapies
- Threatened by a nuclear holocaust, we build bigger deterrent forces and anti-ballistic-missile systems.
- We try to stave off world famine with new foods and better ways of growing them.
- Improved sanitation
and medicine will, we hope, control disease, better housing and
transportation will solve the problems of the ghettos,
- New ways of reducing or disposing of waste will stop the pollution of the environment.
- We can point to
remarkable achievements in all these fields, and it is not surprising
that we should try to extend them. But things grow steadily worse and
it is disheartening to find that our dependent attachment to technology
itself is increasingly at fault.
Sanitation and medicine have made the problems of population more acute,
- War has acquired a new horror with the invention of nuclear weapons,
- The affluent pursuit of happiness is largely responsible for pollution.
- The excessive use of drugs has addicted us to them.
- The non-organic fulfillment of our wants produces environmental deterioration.
The application of the
physical and biological sciences alone will not solve our problems
because the solutions lie in another field. What we need is a technology of behavior.
We could solve our problems quickly enough if we could adjust the
growth and destructive impact of the world's population as precisely as
we adjust the course of a spaceship.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
April 22, 2000
EARTH
DAY PLUS THIRTY, AS
SEEN BY THE EARTH
By
Donella Meadows, adjunct professor at Dartmouth College. Used
with permission
If,
in the thirty Earth Day celebrations we have held since 1970, (now forty-five in 2015), the human
population and economy have become any more respectful of the Earth,
the Earth hasn't noticed.
The
planet is not impressed by fancy speeches. Leonardo DiCaprio
interviewing Bill Clinton about global warming is not an Earth-shaking
event. The Earth has no way of registering good intentions or future
inventions or high hopes. It doesn't even pay attention to dollars,
which are, from a planet's point of view, just a charming human
invention. Planets measure only physical things-energy and materials
and their flows into and out of the changing populations of living
creatures.
What
the life of Earth sees is that on the first Earth Day in 1970 there were 3.7
billion of those hyperactive critters called humans, and now there are
over 6 billion. (2013 update, 7.046 billion)
Back
in 1970 those humans drew from the Earth's crust 46 million barrels of
oil every day-now they draw 78 million.
Natural
gas extraction has nearly tripled in thirty years, from 34 trillion
cubic feet per year to 95 trillion. We mined 2.2 billion metric tons in
1970; this year we'll mine about 3.8 billion. The planet feels this
fossil fuel use in many ways, as the fuels are extracted (and spilled)
and shipped (and spilled) and refined (generating toxics) and burned
into numerous pollutants, including carbon dioxide, which traps
outgoing energy and warms things up. Despite global conferences and
brave promises, what the Earth notices is that human carbon emissions
have increased from 3.9 million metric tons in 1970 to an estimated 6.4
million this year, 2000, and no end to the increase is in sight.
You
would think that an unimaginably huge thing like a planet would not
notice the one degree (Fahrenheit) warming it has experienced since
1970. But on the scale of a whole planet, one degree is a big deal,
especially since it is not spread evenly. The poles have warmed more
than the equator, the winters more than the summers, the nights more
than the days. That means that temperature DIFFERENCES from one place
to another have been changing much more than the average temperature
has changed. Temperature differences are what make winds blow, rains
rain, ocean currents flow.
All
creatures, including humans, are exquisitely attuned to the weather.
All creatures, including us, are noticing weather weirdness and trying
to adjust, by moving, by fruiting earlier or migrating later, by
building up whatever protections are possible against flood and
drought. The Earth is reacting to weather changes too, shrinking
glaciers, splitting off nation-sized chunks of Antarctic ice sheet,
enhancing the cycles we call El Nino and La Nina.
"Earth
Day, Shmearth Day," the planet must be thinking as its fever mounts.
"Are you folks ever going to take me seriously?"
Since
the first Earth Day our global vehicle population has swelled from 246
to 730 million. Air traffic has gone up by a factor of six. The rate at
which we grind up trees to make paper has doubled (to 200 million
metric tons per year). We coax from the soil, with the help of strange
chemicals, 2.25 times as much wheat, 2.5 times as much corn, 2.2 times
as much rice, almost twice as much sugar, almost four times as many
soybeans as we did thirty years ago. We pull from the oceans almost
twice as much fish.
With
the fish we can see clearly how the planet behaves, when we push it too
far. It does not feel sorry for us; it just follows its own rules. Fish
become harder and harder to find. If they are caught before they're old
enough to reproduce, if their nursery habitat is destroyed, if we scoop
up not only the cod, but the capelin upon which the cod feeds, the fish
may never come back. The Earth does not care that we didn't mean it,
that we promise not to do it again, that we make nice gestures every
Earth Day.
We
have among us die-hard optimists who will berate me for not reporting
the good news since the first Earth Day. There is plenty of it, but it
is mostly measured in human terms, not Earth terms. Average human life
expectancy has risen since 1970 from 58 to 66 years. Gross world
product has more than doubled, from 16 to 39 trillion dollars.
Recycling has increased, but so has trash generation, so the Earth
receives more garbage than ever before. Wind and solar power generation
have soared, but so have coal-fired, gas-fired and nuclear generation.
In
human terms there has been breathtaking progress. In 1970 there weren't
any cell phones or video players. There was no Internet; there were no
dot-coms. Nor was anyone infected with AIDS, of course, nor did we have
to worry about genetic engineering. Global spending on advertising was
only one-third of what it is now (in inflation-corrected dollars).
Third-World debt was one-eighth of what it is now.
Whether
you call any of that progress, it is all beneath the notice of the
Earth. What the Earth sees is that its species are vanishing at a rate
it hasn't seen in 65 million years. That 40 percent of its agricultural
soils have been degraded. That half its forests have disappeared and
half its wetlands have been filled or drained, and that despite Earth
Day, all these trends are accelerating.
All these increases come
with devastating human, resource and monetary costs, along with misery factors
that keep growing.
Earth
Day is beginning to remind me of Mother's Day, a commercial occasion
upon which you buy flowers for the person who, every other day of the
year, cleans up after you. Guilt-assuaging. Trivializing. Actually
dangerous. All mothers have their breaking points. Mother Earth does
not soften hers with patience or forgiveness or sentimentality.
The wholeness of
our earth mother dances in and around us. What we do to it, we do to
our individual and collective body, mind and spirit.
Select here for a
tool that helps us learn and teach how to supportively think in balance
with natural systems.
Ten years later
The Global Footprint Network
June,
2011-2015
You
really do have to wonder whether a few years from now we’ll look back
at the first decade of the 21st century — when food prices spiked,
energy prices soared, world population surged, tornados plowed through
cities, floods and droughts set records, populations were displaced and
governments were threatened by the confluence of it all — and ask
ourselves: What were we thinking? How did we not panic when the
evidence was so obvious that we’d crossed some growth/climate/natural
resource/population redlines all at once?
We
are currently growing at a rate that is using up the Earth’s resources
far faster than they can be sustainably replenished, so we are eating
into the future. Right now, global growth is using about 1.5
Earths. Having only one planet makes this a rather significant
problem. When you are surrounded by something so big that requires you
to change everything about the way you think and see the world, then
denial is the natural response. But the longer we wait, the bigger the
response required and the greater the misery produced.
If you cut down
more trees than
you grow, you run out of trees. If you put additional nitrogen into a
water system, you change the type and quantity of life that water can
support. If you thicken the Earth’s CO2 blanket, the Earth gets warmer.
If you do all these and many more nature-destructive things at once,
you change the way
the whole system of planet Earth behaves, in and around us, while producing the misery of destructive social, economic, and
life support relationships.
In 1975, Earth Overshoot Day—the
approximate date our resource consumption for a given year exceeds the
planet’s ability to replenish itself—was December 30.
In 1993, Earth Overshoot Day—was
October 21
In 2003, Overshoot Day was on
September 22.
August 8 was Earth
Overshoot Day 2016, marking the date when humanity exhausts
nature’s budget for the year. We are now operating in overdraft on
borrowed time. Given
current trends in our wanting and consumption, one thing is clear: Earth Overshoot Day
arrives a few days earlier each year.
NOTE: The point
source of this critical
dilemma has been identified and a practical, whole life art and science
remedy for it is readily
available. Known as maverick genius Educating, Counseling and Healing with
Nature (ECHN), our
socialization omits this antidote because it interrupts our ever-wanting, excessive conquest and
exploitation of nature for profit. Instead we are trained and
paid as perpetrators of this outrage that some folks see as the violation of Planet Earth and ourselves by our nature-disconnected story world.
Our established scientific genius continues to deteriorate our planet and wellness. Maverick genius reverses this trend.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
Nature Hallucinations
by Barbara
Kingsolver (extended)
Most of our populace and all of our leaders deny that they are not
reacting
appropriately to an addictive, mass,
hallucinatory, prejudiced against nature fantasy in which:
* the megatons of waste that we dump in our rivers and bays are not
poisoning the water or our body, mind and spirit.
* the hydrocarbons we pump into the air are not changing the climate of
the world, our natural security, or deteriorating our health.
* over-fishing is not depleting the oceans, over-consumption does not
hurt the environment or our health.
* living in estranged, story-based ways that disconnect us from the
balance found in nature's grace and
self-correcting powers does not reduce our resilience or result in our
dysfunctions
* fossil fuels will never run out; the loss due to our fossilized
thinking that demeans nature, in and around us, does not motivate our
excessiveness, abusiveness and greed.
* our 54 natural sensitivities and sensibilities are not part of the
way natural
systems work; disconnecting them from sensory literacy about nature
does not make us
excessively want
so that we feel we never have enough so we never are enough.
* wars that kill masses of civilians are an appropriate way to keep our
hands on what's left and the economy rolling; wars against people do
not result from an undeclared war we wage against nature and the
natural, in and around us.
* we are not desperately overdrawn at the environmental or emotional
bank; we are not conditioned to be prejudiced against nature or against
the free, renewing ways of the life of the web-of-life.
* sensory activities that connect our body, mind and spirit to nature's
healing
powers don't help us increase our well being; our
separation-from-nature wanting, excessiveness and greed do not place
our natural resources, economy or well-being at-risk.
* and really, although by the age of seven our kids bond to this mass
hallucination, addict to questionable technologies and need to be
drugged, they are all right.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
Organic
Relationships and Problem Solving
From the moment of its Big Bang birth the evidence-based life dance of the Scientific/
Universe/Nature/Earth/Humanity (SUNEH)
has produced and enjoyed the integrity of its
natural attraction ability to cooperatively diversify, reproduce,
correct, purify, balance, support, restore and
heal its life organically across the eons. In 1600 A.D. wild,
free and unpolluted North America exhibited all these qualities
Since then, the limits of "objective" science and problem solving omit
Nature's organic, whole life,
unification ability to naturally sustain its balanced integrity as it every
moment creates new time and space. This
omission is a personal void we feel that has produced profound miseries, our
personal,
stress,
social,
and environmental
problems, seldom their solutions. Visit the above pages if you want
to see the effects of five centuries of of our objective science
excessive
disconnection from the whole life
aliveness of Nature's unifying dance in North America.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
The Human Conditon and Unjust Science
If we could shrink the earth's
population to a village of precisely 100 people, with all the existing
human ratios remaining the same, it would look something like the
following.
There would be:
57 Asians
21 Europeans
14 from the Western Hemisphere,
both north and south
8 would be Africans
52 would be female
48 would be male
70 would be non-white
30 would be white
70 would be non-Christian
30 would be Christian
89 would be heterosexual
11 would be homosexual
6 people would possess 59% of
the entire world's wealth and all 6 would be from the United States.
80 would live in substandard
housing
70 would be unable to read
50 would suffer from
malnutrition
(ONE)1 would be near death;
(ONE)1 would be near birth;
(ONE)1 would have a college
education;
(ONE)1 would own a computer.
If you have food in the
refrigerator, clothes on your back, a roof overhead and a place to
sleep, you are richer than 75% of this world.
If you woke up this morning
with more health than illness, you are more blessed than the million
who will not survive this week.
If you have money in the bank,
in your wallet, and spare change in a dish someplace, you are among the
top 8% of the world's wealthy.
If you can attend a church
meeting without fear of harassment, arrest, torture, or death, you are
more blessed than three billion people in the world.
If you have never experienced
the danger of battle, the loneliness of imprisonment, the agony of
torture, or the pangs of starvation, you are ahead of 500 million
people in the world.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available. Select here
"In a natural area the GreenWave
ECHN Equation enables my 54 senses to reasonably bring the dance of past
leaders, religious figures or mystics in step with Industrial Society
in any moment. This unity gives anybody their presently missing ability to
understand and deal with the
catastrophe of our excessive nature-disconnection because they are
simultaneously dancing in tune with geology and physics laws, with Moses, Jesus
and Mohammad and with the rhythm of scientists, wellness or folks they disagree with. They resonate with friends or criminals,
past experiences, wisdom and any other nature-supportive story that comes to mind."
- Mike Cohen
Update Jan 15, 2015 The Guardian
Humans
are “eating away at our own life support systems” at a rate unseen in
the past 10,000 years by degrading land and freshwater systems,
emitting greenhouse gases and releasing vast amounts of agricultural
chemicals into the environment, new research has found.
Two major new studies by an
international team of researchers have pinpointed the key factors that
ensure a livable planet for humans, with stark results.
Of nine worldwide processes
that underpin life on Earth, four have exceeded “safe” levels –
human-driven climate change, loss of biosphere integrity, land system
change and the high level of phosphorus and nitrogen flowing into the
oceans due to fertilizer use.
Researchers spent five years
identifying these core components of a planet suitable for human life,
using the long-term average state of each measure to provide a baseline
for the analysis.
They found that the changes of
the last 60 years are unprecedented in the previous 10,000 years, a
period in which the world has had a relatively stable climate and human
civilization has advanced significantly.
Carbon dioxide levels, at 395.5
parts per million, are at historic highs, while loss of biosphere
integrity is resulting in species becoming extinct at a rate more than
100 times faster than the previous norm.
ACT: As we learn to be successful we are trained
to violate life in balance, including our own lives. At no cost you can instantly begin to master the
remedy for this outrage because it’s easy to learn and insane not to teach.
^^^
Live Science in cooperation with Scientific American: January 2016:
Rapid development of
technology, swelling population and growing consumption of resources
from crops to metals have expanded humanity's impacts, particularly
after 1950 or so, an inflection point some have dubbed the "Great
Acceleration." People have created long-lasting new materials, ranging
from copper alloys to plastics that will form long-lived, so-called
"technofossils." Enough concrete has been made by now to cover every
square meter of the world in a kilogram of the building material.
Sufficient plastic is currently manufactured each year to weigh as much
as all seven billion–plus humans on the planet. People move nearly
three times as much rock and dirt via mining than the amount that
travels with water through all the world's rivers. Modern chemistry has
even liberated civilization from the natural nitrogen cycle that has
prevailed for the last 2.5 billion years. And tiny soot particles left
over after burning coal, oil and natural gas now can be found in
sediments from tropical lakes to the middle of the Pacific Ocean, a
permanent smudge on the geologic record.
Humanity has
reconfigured the course of future evolution by shifting plants and
animals around the globe or eliminating certain species—the same
biological markers known as index fossils and used to define most of
the time intervals that divide the last 540 million years, an eon known
as the Phanerozoic.
Intergovernmental
Panel on
Climate Change Report
July,
2001
3,000
scientists involved in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
have given their unqualified backing to the argument that global
warming is taking place and at a much faster rate than was expected.
The Panel established by the United Nations and the World
Meteorological Organisation stated that temperatures were rising more
quickly than at any time in the past 1,000 years. Experts are warning
that this will put millions of people at risk with a future of floods,
droughts and landslides if predictions are correct. Poorer countries
will be the most vulnerable if temperatures rise by as much as 5.8 34C
as predicted by the end of the century. Plants and animals will
disappear and many developing countries depend more heavily on water
and agriculture for survival will suffer.
Strong
evidence depicts that over the past 540 years human activities such as
the burning of fossil fuels has speeded up the global warming process.
The IPCC report said that the concentration of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere is now at its highest for 400,000 years. Politicians from
more than 150 countries meet in Germany next week to try to salvage the
Kyoto agreement.
Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
Select here for a
tool that helps us learn and teach how to supportively think in balance
with natural systems.
Siberian
and Artic Tundra
Melting From Global Warming Releases Methane Gas that Increases the
Warming Process.
August
11, 2005
The
world's largest frozen peat bog is melting. An area stretching for a
million square kilometres across the permafrost of western Siberia is
turning into a mass of shallow lakes as the ground melts, according to
Russian researchers just back from the region.
The
sudden melting of a bog the size of France and Germany combined could
unleash billions of tonnes of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, into
the atmosphere.
The
news of the dramatic transformation of one of the world's least visited
landscapes comes from Sergei Kirpotin, a botanist at Tomsk State
University, Russia, and Judith Marquand at the University of Oxford.
Kirpotin
describes an "ecological landslide that is probably irreversible and is
undoubtedly connected to climatic warming". He says that the entire
western Siberian sub-Arctic region has begun to melt, and this "has all
happened in the last three or four years".
Siberia's
peat bogs formed around 11,000 years ago at the end of the last ice
age. Since then they have been generating methane, most of which has
been trapped within the permafrost, and sometimes deeper in ice-like
structures known as clathrates. Larry Smith of the University of
California, Los Angeles, estimates that the west Siberian bog alone
contains some 70 billion tonnes of methane, a quarter of all the
methane stored on the land surface worldwide.
His
colleague Karen Frey says if the bogs dry out as they warm, the methane
will oxidise and escape into the air as carbon dioxide. But if the bogs
remain wet, as is the case in western Siberia today, then the methane
will be released straight into the atmosphere. Methane is 20 times as
potent a greenhouse gas as carbon dioxide.
In
May this year, Katey Walter of the University of Alaska Fairbanks told
a meeting in Washington of the Arctic Research Consortium of the US
that she had found methane hotspots in eastern Siberia, where the gas
was bubbling from thawing permafrost so fast it was preventing the
surface from freezing, even in the midst of winter. Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
remedy for it is readily available.
Select here for a
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The
United Nations
Millennium Forum Declaration reports
The
statistics shift slightly from year to year and from report to report
but they are, nevertheless, always shocking to our sense of
humanity.
- Some
840 million people remain malnourished,
- 1.3
billion do not have access to clean water,
- One
in seven children of primary school age is out of school.
- An
estimated 1.5 billion people subsist on less than one US dollar per day
- Some
2.8 billion subsist on less than two dollars a day.
- As
of the most recent count, there were some 35 armed conflicts raging in
theworld.
- The
weapons and the disagreements that could lead to worldwide war of
horrific destruction still exist.
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Nature
Journal:
International Consortium of Scientists Report
October,
2001: A shocking and groundbreaking new scientific study by an
international consortium of scientists has concluded that humanity's
assault on the
environment has left many ecosystems - from coral reefs and tropical
forests to lakes and coastal waters - in such a fragile state that the
slightest disturbance, from a dry spell to a fire or flood, may push
them into a catastrophic collapse. The study, published in the
prestigious journal NATURE, found that human impacts on many of the
world's ecosystems could cause them to abruptly shift with little or no
warning from their apparently stable natural condition to very
different, diminished conditions far less able to support diversity of
life, including human.
"Models have predicted this, but only in recent years has enough
evidence accumulated to tell us that resilience of many important
ecosystems has become undermined to the point that even the slightest
disturbance can make them collapse," said Marten Scheffer, an ecologist
at the University of Wageningen in the Netherlands and lead author of
the study.
Conventional scientific and conservation thinking has been that
ecosystems such as lakes, oceans, coral reefs, woodlands or deserts
respond slowly and steadily to climate change, nutrient pollution,
habitat degradation and other human environmental impacts. But the new
study shatters this paradigm, finding instead that, after decades of
continuous change imposed by human activity, many of the world's
natural ecosystems are now susceptible to sudden catastrophic change.
In dramatic contrast to conventional environmental thinking, the
investigators paint a picture of unexpectedly sudden, drastic switches
of state, from lush, lake-dotted forests teeming with plants and
animals to scorching, parched deserts devoid of all but the hardiest of
lifeforms, for example.
"In approaching questions about deforestation or endangered species or
global climate change, we work on the premise that an ounce of
pollution equals an ounce of damage," said co-author Jonathan Foley, a
University of Wisconsin-Madison climatologist and director of the
Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment at the Institute
for Environmental Studies at UW-Madison. "It turns out that assumption
is entirely incorrect. Ecosystems may go on for years exposed to
pollution or climate changes without showing any change at all and then
suddenly they may flip into an entirely different condition, with
little warning ornone at all."
"The idea that nature can suddenly flip from one kind of condition to
another is sobering," said Foley, who said that such changes can be
irreversible. "For hundreds of years, we've been taught to think in
very linear ways; we like to think of nature as being simple. But now
we know that we can't count on ecosystems to act in nice simple ways."
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systems.
UN
paints grim global
picture.
Time running out for ecology, report warns; new threat is found
By
Rosalind Russell, Reuters, 09/22/99
NAIROBI
- It is too late to halt global warming and time is quickly running out
to prevent other potential environmental catastrophes, the UN's
environment agency said in a major report yesterday.
''Global
Environment Outlook 2000'' offers a gloomy view of the planet's
condition on the eve of the next millennium. It points to new threats -
such as increased levels of nitrogen in the water supply - that the
world has not yet tackled.
''The
gains made by better management and technology are still being outpaced
by the environmental impacts of population and economic growth. We are
on an unsustainable course,'' Klaus Toepfer, head of the United Nations
Environment Program, said at the launch of the report in Nairobi.
The
report says emissions of greenhouse gases that cause global warming
have quadrupled since the 1950s, and that ''binding'' targets to reduce
emissions, agreed by governments at the summit last year in Kyoto,
Japan, may not be met.
The
rate at which humans are destroying the environment is accelerating,
often because of excessive consumption by the rich, and to the
detriment of the poor.
About
20 percent of the world's population lack access to safe drinking
water, and 50 percent have no access to a sanitation system. This state
of affairs will deteriorate as the world's population, set to reach 6
billion next month, will increase by 50 percent in the next 50 years.
Eighty
percent of the world's original forest cover has been cleared or
degraded, and logging and mining projects threaten 39 percent of what
forest remains.
A
quarter of mammal species are at risk of extinction, while more than
half the world's coral reefs are threatened by human activity.
There
were 850 contributors to the report, which took two and a half years to
compile, and which highlights some lesser-known environmental problems.
Disasters
such as hurricanes and forest fires are increasing in frequency and
severity, and have killed 3 million people in the past three decades.
Armed conflicts and refugee flows are causing greater damage to the
environment than ever before.
There
is also mounting evidence that humans are seriously destabilizing the
global nitrogen balance. Huge amounts of nitrogen are being deposited
on land and in water through intensive agriculture and the burning of
fossil fuels.
Eventually,
this problem could make fresh-water supplies unfit for human
consumption, the report says.
''The
full extent of the damage is only now becoming apparent as we begin to
piece together a comprehensive overview of the extremely complex,
interconnected web that is our life support system,'' said Toepfer, a
former German environment minister.
Much
of the damage is irreparable, but through a huge mobilization of
resources and political will, much can be done to prevent further
destruction, the report says.
A
long-term target of a 90 percent reduction in the consumption of raw
materials in industrialized countries may seem far-fetched, but without
it hundreds of millions of people will be condemned to a life of
suffering, the report concludes.
This
story ran on page A05 of the Boston Globe on 09/22/99.
©
Copyright 1999 Globe Newspaper Company.
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with natural systems..
SUMMARY
of
reports from the Union of
Concerned Scientists
Human
culture now has the potential to inflict irreversible damage on the
environment and on its life sustaining systems and resources. Already,
critical stress suffered by our environment is clearly manifest in the
air, water, and soil, our climate, and plant and animal species. Should
this deterioration be allowed to continue, we can expect to alter the
living world to the extent that it will be unable to sustain life as we
know it.
Indiscriminate
dumping of toxic, nuclear, and biomedical waste and environmental
disasters of enormous scale have begun to cut deep scars into the
Earth's ecosystem and disrupt its delicate ecological balance. Global
warming, though to be resulting from increased levels of carbon dioxide
in the atmosphere from fossil fuel use and from deforestation, may have
the potential to alter climate on a massive scale. Air pollution near
ground level and acid precipitation, and stratospheric ozone depletion
causing enhanced ultra-violet radiation at the earth's surface, are
causing widespread injury to human and animal populations, forests and
crops. Our remaining rainforests and many wild forest regions,
essential to worldwide ecological balance, are slated for clear cutting
due to poor management policies.
Uncontrolled
exploitation of depletable ground water supplies have endangered food
production and other essential human systems and heavy demands for
surface waters have resulted in serious shortages in many countries.
Pollution of rivers, lakes and ground water has further limited the
supply of potable water. Destructive pressure on the oceans is severe.
Rivers carrying heavy burdens of eroded soil into the seas also contain
toxic industrial, municipal, agricultural, and livestock waste. With
the marine catch at or above the maximum sustainable yield, some
fisheries are already showing signs of collapse.
Soil
productivity is on the decline and per capita food production in many
parts of the world is decreasing, as a result of destructive
agriculture and animal husbandry practices. Already, more than ten
percent of the earth's vegetated surface has been degraded, an area
larger than India and China combined.
Over
one third of the valuable topsoil used to grow the grains that feed
much of the world has blown or washed away. This desertification,
caused by overgrazing domestic animals and by over-cultivation,
salinization, and deforestation, has already impacted over 35 percent
of the land surface of the earth (United Nations Environmental
Program). Desertification has caused many millions to abandon the land,
lacking the bare essentials of survival, they have migrated to urban
slums, where all that awaits them are meager government relief packages
and poverty wages.
We
are fast approaching many of the earth's limits; its ability to provide
for growing numbers of people, to provide food and energy, and to
absorb wastes and destructive effluent. Current economic practices
which damage the environment, in both developed and underdeveloped
nations, cannot be continued without the risk that vital global systems
will be damaged beyond repair.
No
more than a few decades remain before the chance to avert the threats
we now confront will be lost and the prospects for humanity
immeasurably diminished. We must begin to bring environmentally
damaging activities under control to restore and protect the integrity
of the earth's ecosystems. The greatest peril is to become trapped in
spirals of environmental decline, poverty, and unrest, leading to
worldwide social, economic and environmental collapse from which we may
be unable to recover. Reminder: the
point source of this unfair dilemma has been identified and a practical
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Most
Recent State of the
Earth Report
from the United
Nations Environment Programme
"From
a global perspective the environment has continued to degrade during
the past decade, and significant environmental problems remain deeply
embedded in the socio-economic fabric of nations in all regions.
Progress towards a global sustainable future is just too slow. A sense
of urgency is lacking. Internationally and nationally, the funds and
political will are insufficient to halt further global environmental
degradation and to address the most pressing environmental issues-even
though technology and knowledge are available to do so.
The
recognition of environmental issues as necessarily long-term and
cumulative, with serious global and security implications, remains
limited. The reconciliation of environment and trade regimes in a fair
and equitable mannerstill remains a major challenge. The continued
preoccupation with immediate local and national issues and a general
lack of sustained interest in global and long-term environmental issues
remain major impediments to environmental progress internationally.
Global governance structures and global environmental solidarity remain
too weak to make progress a world-wide reality. As a result, the gap
between what has been done thus far and what is realistically needed is
widening.
Comprehensive
response mechanisms have not yet been fully internalized at the
national level. The development at local, national, and regional levels
of effective environmental legislation and of fiscal and economic
instruments has not kept pace with the increase in environmental
institutions. In the private sector, environmental advances by several
major transnational corporations are not reflected widely in the
practices of small- and medium-sized companies that form the backbone
of economies in many countries.
In
the future, the continued degradation of natural resources,
shortcomings in environmental responses, and renewable resource
constraints may increasingly lead to food insecurity and conflict
situations. Changes in global biogeochemical cycles and the complex
interactions between environmental problems such as climate change,
ozone depletion, and acidification may have impacts that will confront
local, regional, and global communities with situations they are
unprepared for. Previously unknown risks to human health are becoming
evident from the cumulative and persistent effects of a whole range of
chemicals, particularly the persistent organic pollutants. The effects
of climate variability and change are already increasing the incidence
of familiar public health problems and leading to new ones, including a
more extensive reach of vectorborne diseases and a higher incidence of
heat-related illness and mortality. If significant major policy reforms
are not implemented quickly, the future might hold more such surprises.
GEO-1
substantiates the need for the world to embark on major structural
changes and to pursue environmental and associated socio-economic
policies vigorously. Key areas for action must embrace the use of
alternative and renewable energy resources, cleaner and leaner
production systems world-wide, and concerted global action for the
protection and conservation of the world's finite and irreplaceable
fresh-water resources."
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Continued
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